He was 120th in shots gained: approach going into the WM Phoenix Open. Previous rank: 25 Its one of seven cuts made in 2022-23. 14. An opening-round 73 left him out of the mix in Phoenix, but he's still playing as well as anyone in the world. Bermuda grass is in play as is the case throughout much of the Sunshine State. Rahm is followed by Rory McIlroy (+900), Scottie Scheffler (+1000) and a large group at +2000 that is headlined by Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa. The cutline has been over par in 10 of the last 11 years. Payne Stewart in 1987 was the only player to go 20-under when he won by three. Cantlay, who is ranked No. He has five top-25 finishes in seven tour starts this season, including a tie for third at the Shriners Children's Open and QBE Shootout, an unofficial event. He is scheduled to play in the Genesis Invitational. Lee also was T-13th at the Hero Dubai Desert Classic where he finished ahead of names like Rasmus and Nicolai Hojgaard, Perez, Tyrrell Hatton, etc. Spieth followed up his near-miss at Pebble Beach with a rather ordinary start at TPC Scottsdale, a tie for 60th at even par. 9. Its officially a designated event in 2023, but you dont need to conceive a visual of the King himself winking, grinning and giving a thumbs-up to approve what we already know, that this tournament is special. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. (Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images). They took their cuts and delivered. Bet with your head, not over it. Mandatory Credit: Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports. SUNDAY: Payouts and Points, Medical Extensions, Qualifiers, Reshuffle. Almost all the worlds top stars will be in attendance as this is one of the PGA Tours newly designated events. The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hillbrings out many of the best players in the world due to its rich history and the new elevated status it holds on the PGA Tour. There are designated events, and then there is the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. He tied for 32nd at the Genesis in 2021. TifEagle bermuda greens are larger than average in size (and not overseeded), but theyre equipped to flirt with and exceed 13 feet on the Stimpmeter. Harold Varner III Ranks 19th in the model. That helped him make it onto the American Presidents Cup team where Burns played well despite a middling record. Bay Hill currently measures 7,419 yards for a par 72. The 15th edition of the Puerto Rico Open is slated to be contested concurrently with the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard for the second straight year. Bay Hill gives players more approaches from 200 or more yards than any other course on Tour. by Mastercard Rd 2 - Suspended ESPN+ ESPN Search. 25. Ranks 17th in the model. Daytime highs could hit 90 degrees until the wind shifts. He carded an 8-under 63 in the second round, the lowest round of the tournament, and hit all 18 greens in regulation, which he had done only one other time in 843 official rounds on tour. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Bay Hill plays as a 7,400-yard par 72 featuring Bermuda greens and much thicker rough than weve seen all year and usually see around Florida. The course measures 7,261 yards for a par 70. Marc Leishman Max Homa : Continued his incredible run in California with a 2nd at Riviera, and its safe to say hes being respected as one of the best in the world at this point. They're the 25 who have played the best this season and have the best form right now. As always, Ill prefer distance, but you can get around here in a variety of ways. If your first wager is a winner, not only will you receive the profits, but $150 worth of bonus bets will also be yours. pic.twitter.com/gpqP1Q1WlN. The weather forecast for the week appears to be warm, dry, and windy, so expect the course to play fiery once again. Schauffele made more than 89 feet of putts -- on the first five holes Sunday. Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy will once again be looking to be World No. 1, Tiger to play in next week's Genesis Invitational, Author of seven books on college football. On cue, the wind steps forward as the primary defense to a course that surrendered a scoring average of 71.339 last year, which essentially is the expectation. Its going to be hot and humid this week but little to no rain is expected. 10. Jon Rahm : Rahms numbers in the model this week are just absurd, and hes a runaway No. He led the field in shots gained: approach this past weekend, the first time he has accomplished that since the 2022 U.S. Open at Brookline. Still, given his track record at Bay Hill and doses of phenomenal form a fortnight ago at Riviera, youll excuse any competitor for not missing him on the leaderboard this week. MEN -- 10 needed to qualify on nine worldwide tours: PGA Tour, PGA European Tour, Nationwide Tour, Japan Golf Tour, Southern Africa Tour, PGA Tour of AustralAsia . * - Rob is a member of the panel for PGATOUR.COMs Expert Picks for PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf, which also publishes on Tuesday. Will likely be excited to get back on Bermuda. Stewart Cink knew how to win over the Phoenix fans. 12. Ranks 1st in SG: OTT and 1st in GIRs Gained. The four par 3s, including the two that bracket The Bear Trap Nos. Justin Thomas is one to watch this week at the PGA Championship. Details of the variables of the week are below. The qualifications for this exclusive event are pretty simple: win a tournament during the 2021 calendar year, stretching across two seasons (January to December). Plus, access replays, originals and more. The field gets a primer on Thursday when gusts might touch 20 mph. It also features world #2 Scottie Scheffler, world #3 Rory McIlroy and world #4 Patrick Cantlay. The former Pepperdine star did everything he could in trying to become only the sixth player in the last 15 seasons to win a tournament with a sponsor exemption. When looking at players who can perform at difficult courses, Zalatoris name has to be in the conversation. Who's out: Bryson DeChambeau, Tyrrell Hatton, Just missed the cut: DeChambeau, Hatton, Adam Hadwin, Corey Conners, Russell Henley, Brian Harman, Abraham Ancer, Louis Oosthuizen, Harris English, Patrick Reed, Webb Simpson, Matthew Wolff, PGA Tour Power Rankings: Time to make a change at the top, A battle for No. 1 Rory McIlroy leads a WM Phoenix Open field that features 22 of the world's top 25 golfers. Hes proof of the value of a home game. Trusting that greens will be adjusted accordingly, its a plan that likely will extend into Saturdays third round for which the elements will mimic the opener, albeit with a slight risk of inclement weather. He posted another top-10 on Sunday, a tie for eighth, after overcoming a shaky driver in the first two rounds with a combined 11 fairways hit. Thomas, the reigning PGA Championship winner, still seemed to be dialing things in heading into Phoenix. Rickie Fowler : You cant look past Fowlers recent iron play, as the former top 5 player has gained more than 15 strokes on approach in his last three starts. Hes a Louisianan, but he tends to play his best golf in the southeastern United States. Bradley, 36, is third in FedEx Cup points. @JordanSpieth found out on this unique ruling on No. Get ESPN+ here | Download the app | WatchESPN. Ranks 2nd in GIRs Gained and 4th in Proximity: 200+ Yards. He had one of the better fall swings of anyone on tour. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. The strongest that the invisible force will get is approximately 20 mph, but the positive spin, as it were, is that itll be consistent throughout the tournament. "These are the days that we were dreaming about." Each week in our golf power rankings, we will highlight the top players on the PGA TOUR in order of likeliness to win the tournament. 21. Expected high winds and firm conditions this week will also open things up a bit to accurate drivers. . This is the fourth designated event of the season. The Spaniard finished in third place in Phoenix, 5 shots back, but was in contention once again. He finished in a tie for third at 15-under. 5 in the Official World Golf Ranking, hasn't yet his stride this season. It was the largest 36-hole comeback at the WM Phoenix Open since it moved to TPC Scottsdale in 1987, according to ESPN Stats & Information research. Some of the top golfers on the PGA Tour have kick-started their careers with wins in Puerto Rico, including Tony Finau in 2016 and Viktor Hovland in 2019. Finishes of 10th and 38th at Bay Hill with elite ball striking. Sam Burns Xander Schauffele The cash and the stakes arent as high as they were in recent weeks in Scottsdale and Los Angeles, but the Honda Classic is still a worthwhile watch. He had three victories in his previous eight worldwide starts. On cue, the wind steps forward as the primary defense to a course that surrendered a scoring average of 71.339 last year, which essentially is the expectation. Finished 3rd and 11th here last two years. Factors at play on the rankings are (in no order): Using the guidelines above to create a statistical model, value can be found in the betting market by highlighting players whose outlook for the tournament may be flying under the radar to the general public. Wind is often a factor at this event and seven water hazards eat up a lot of wayward shots. He was also fifth in fewest putts per round (28.14). PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, and the Swinging Golfer design are registered trademarks. It could get windy but doesnt look like it will be too out of control. Previous rank: 1 Sungjae Im Few players have performed better at the TPC Scottsdale than Matsuyama, who had victories there in 2016 and 2017. Lets get down to the top 10 players to get it done at PGA National: Min Woo Lee, 150th Open Championship, St. Andrews, Mandatory Credit: Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports. Ranks 1st in Proximity: 200+ Yards and 4th in the model. 8. But his course history of 9th, 10th, 9th and 2nd is still worth looking at. Hell bank 300 FedExCup points and $684,000 of a record prize fund of $3.8 million. He ranks in the top 15 on tour in strokes gained: total, tee to green and approach. His career-low round, of course, was a 59 at the 2020 Northern Trust. As one of three invitationals on Tour, its an invite-only field of 120 players and provides automatic three-year exemption status to the winner of the event instead of the standard two years. Tiger Woods, who is not in the field this year, has won Arnold Palmers event a whopping eight times. Since winning the Shriners Children's Open in October, he tied for fifth at the Tournament of Champions and for sixth at the American Express. That resembled last year when he coasted at Riviera after winning in Phoenix and then added a 2nd victory at Bay Hill. You can bet on the Arnold Palmer Invitational at DraftKings Sportsbook. But he missed the cut at the WM Phoenix Open after hitting consecutive shots into the water on No. They sandwiched a pair of top 15s in his native South Africa in December, so its not like he hasnt put four round together in a minute. He briefly challenged Rahm on Sunday, and he was playing some of the best golf in the world to end his 2022. Putting can give you some real success at Bay Hill. Won at Bay Hill in 2016 and has finished decently in all three tries since. Like most courses they visit in the Sunshine State, it will present plenty of water hazards throughout, including the famous par-5 sixth hole that features a bold drive over however much water the player thinks he can cut off. 1, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week 12 Bryson DeChambeau (injury) is missing the top 15 in the OWGR. The challenge for him will be a poor history so far in high winds. He finished 5 over, which was third-worst among players who made the cut. *: Power Rankings (Puerto Rico), Sleepers (API), Payouts and Points (API), Payouts and Points (Puerto Rico), Medical Extensions, Qualifiers, Reshuffle, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Kokrak won the Houston Open in November, his third victory in 13 months. The driver has been very consistent lately, so hell just need a colder than usual putter to get rolling. Ranks 1st in the model, 3rd in SG: OTT, 3rd in High Winds and 3rd in GIRs Gained. In years past, I may have skewed driving stats toward Driving Distance on the week, but Ill simply be using SG: Off the Tee. He had made 13 straight cuts, which was the longest active streak on tour. 16. In addition to fully exempt status in the winners category through 2025, the champion will earn exemptions into THE PLAYERS Championship next week, the PGA Championship in May and the Sentry Tournament of Champions in 2024. Scoring will be the name of the game this week. 2. 7. 1, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week, Here's everything you missed this week in professional golf, Jin Young Ko up by 2 in Singapore title defense, Quigley fires 65 for early lead in PGA Champions, Kitayama handles windy Bay Hill as Rahm falters, Tiger not part of field for next week's Players, Young stretches lead to 4 in Puerto Rico Open, Rahm stays hot, finishes strong for Bay Hill lead, Rookie Young captures Puerto Rico lead with 63. However, with five consecutive paydays going back to 2016, three of which for a top 10, itd be surprising only if he wasnt among others to consider, and hes hardly a throw-in. All of golfs best players will be in attendance. Previous rank: 17 Stream on ESPN+. Here is the list of favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook: If you or a loved one has questions or needs to talk to a professional about gambling, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit 1800gambler.net for more information. PGA Tour Power Rankings: Cameron rises, Rory surges and LIV players exit 220d Mark Schlabach A battle for No. With primary rough at least 3 inches high, distance and accuracy off the tee plays up all week. He hadn't missed the weekend since the 2021 Masters. Thats enough of an intro. Like Deion Sanders, Rickie Fowler is coming. : Payouts and Points, Medical Extensions, Qualifiers, Reshuffle, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Bay Hill already is one of if not the hardest par 72 in a non-major in every season last years scoring average of 73.886 easily set the mark among its peers but consider that, in relatively docile conditions a year ago, the opening-round scoring average still was 72.292! The Arnold Palmer Invitational field is absolutely loaded, led by world #1 Jon Rahm. Thomas posted his fifth top-20 finish in as many PGA Tour starts this season with a tie for eighth at the WM Phoenix Open. Still, given his track record at Bay Hill and doses of phenomenal form a fortnight ago at Riviera, youll excuse any competitor for not missing him on the leaderboard this week. While golf may not have money lines, you can check out your wide variety of options while locking in our Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions. PGA Tour Power Rankings: 2016 Honda Classic 1. Ranks 3rd in Proximity: 200+ Yards and 5th in the model. 1. 1. Just a friendly reminder that these aren't necessarily the 25 most talented players in the . The Aussie and brother to LPGA star Minjee Lee is used to playing new venues all over the world. Schauffele was right in the mix again in Phoenix, even after a run-in with a cactus and losing his regular caddie, Austin Kaiser, who tested positive for COVID-19 on Wednesday. Power Rankings: PGA Championship. Weve seen high winds at Bay Hill in the past, and the course plays outrageously hard when thats the case. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. Ranks 7th in SG: OTT and 7th in SG: APP. Previous rank: Not ranked After opening with a 70 in Phoenix, he caught fire over the final 54 holes to tie for sixth. A cozy field of 120 is chasing a winners cut of 550 FedExCup points and $3.6 million from a prize fund of $20 million. Xander Schauffele : Schauffele has been a bit lost since he tied the lead in Phoenix on Saturday, as he dropped to 10th there on Sunday and had a strange week at Riviera. Detroit Golf Club is a shorter par-72, measuring 7,370 yards and is one of the easiest courses on the circuit. This years field is as weak as this tournaments seen in years. Matt Fitzpatrick How Arnold Palmers Bay Hill Club & Lodge will present itself, what Mother Nature has planned and more can be found below. The winning scores each of the past three years have been 18, 23 and 25-under-par respectively. Copyright 2023 PGA TOUR, Inc. All rights reserved. It guarantees that someone else will be holding the trophy. But hes continued his elite golf as of late even if the driver hasnt quite been clicking. 4 @WMPhoenixOpen. As usual, a longshot that makes the top-25 this week is Alex Smalley. 7. Collin Morikawa : Morikawa grades out exceptionally in every category this week except putting, and that will be the obvious spot that determines his finish this week. Maybe Bay Hill can sort him out, where he finished 2nd last year and struck it well in four starts. Scheffler is atop the OWGR for the second time in his career, after spending 30 weeks at No. Sungjae Im is the highest among them at No. Stream on ESPN+. Our experts have broken down the betting odds and are ready to deliver their Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions with odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Rahm has been especially hot as of late, which is why he tops the official world golf rankings. In the third round of the 2022 Mexico Open at Vidanta, Jon Rahm shot a 3-under 68 to get to 15-under through 54 holes. Rahm will surely be targeted by plenty of golf pundits in their Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions. He still has three top-10s, including a victory at the Sanderson Farms Championship. Jason Sobel Updated: May 18, 2022, 11:21 AM EDT Download App Click arrow to expand 2022 PGA Championship odds via BetMGM Bet the PGA Championship risk-free up to $1,000. It was his ninth consecutive top-10 finish worldwide; he was in the top five in seven of his past nine events. How much "louder" will LIV Golf get in its second season? Were now onto a multi-week jaunt through Florida starting with the Honda Classic. Going into Round 3 . After a weekend of beer showers, aces and shirtless celebrations at the biggest party of the season at the WM Phoenix Open, the PGA Tour returns to normalcy with this week's Genesis Invitational at Riviera Country Club. They turned out to be foreshocks for four months of brilliant form that yielded a return to fully exempt status on the PGA TOUR. 13. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. 6. Phil Allen of Twenty First Group noted that Matsuyama has 29 rounds in the 60s there -- the most since 2014 -- and 32 of his 33 rounds at the Phoenix Open have been par or better. The former Wake Forest University star has gained strokes on the greens in all four of his starts in 2023, which is an encouraging trend for a player who had previously struggled with that part of his game. He has made only two starts on tour this year, finishing 38th in the Tournament of Champions and tied for 17th in the Sony Open. The course is infamous for the Bear Trap closing stretch of holes 16-18 where thousands of wayward shots have gone to a watery grave in past years. Schauffele's ailing back hasn't been much of a problem since he withdrew from the Tournament of Champions in his first start of 2023. You neednt consider further than the household names among first-time winners such at Tony Finau (2016) and Viktor Hovland (2020) to understand the springboard effect that the Puerto Rico Open can have. It's probably only a matter of time before Burns starts heating up again, after a relatively quiet start to 2023. A string of solid performances at the Corales Puntacana that read 14th (2020), 22nd (2021) and runner-up last year, and a top-12 (2021) at the Bermuda Championship are signs that Smalley has a liking to these tropical locations. It's the first time the tour has had three consecutive first-time winners since 2019. 18. He was just four off the winning pace on a crowded, talented . The North Dakota native is on a remarkable run. This week, the tour heads to the Stadium Course at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, for the unofficial "fifth major," which now has a $20 . Predicting 2023 NFL starting QBs 1 last season, following his victory at the WGC Dell Technologies Match Play. Any tournament can be won with elite iron play, but with higher scores and the importance on driving it well here, you can get away with just a decent week with the irons. 2 ranked player in the world. The Korn Ferry trademark is also a registered trademark, and is used in the Korn Ferry Tour logo with permission. Jon Rahm, Scottie Scheffler and Xander Schauffele are among them, and Scheffler comes in as the defending champion. Many lower-ranked golfers will. The short game has been way off, but the ball striking continues to be there. Look for his following contributions as scheduled. His strength is on approach and, given his roots, also confidence when the wind blows. pic.twitter.com/xwhDvl8Wrn, "The best bunker shot Jordan has ever hit. With primary rough at least 3 inches high, distance and accuracy off the tee plays up all week. That makes Proximity: 200+ Yards a key statistic this week since we seen many courses go by where players barely hit a long iron outside of Par 5s. The 26-year-old finished runner-up in two of the four majors in 2022, finished tied for sixth at the Masters and also recorded top-five performances at Muirfield Village and Torrey Pines. He won the Fortinet Championship in September and then cooled off. The positive is that Thomas rarely chains together poor ball striking, and he did putt well at Genesis. Harry Hall Until he showcases his talent outside of Las Vegas, hell remain typecast as a no-brainer to give it a proper run at the Shriners. Bermuda grass is where he tends to thrive. Matthew Fitzpatrick : I like to add a few extra players sometimes for big tournaments, and Fitzpatrick is worth noting this week. He is skipping the Genesis Invitational after missing the cut in his last two starts at Riviera. It was during the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am three weeks ago when the expectation surfaced that top 10s at Pebble wouldnt pay forward for entry into the WM Phoenix Open. Brett White, who had to relearn how to walk and talk after battling a brain infection six years ago, made his PGA Tour debut. 16. He has three top-10s in his past four starts at Riviera, where he has never won. He also led the Phoenix field in strokes gained: tee to green and scrambling. 15. Highest-Owned Golfers. Previous rank: 16 He had a 1-shot lead at the Sandersons Farms Championship in October and tied for eighth. The Australian took the week off after finishing in a tie for fourth at the Saudi International. Just like his new world ranking, the Spaniard cant seem to do anything wrong currently, and hell be looking for his 4th win of the year this week. PGATOUR.coms Rob Bolton recaps and previews every tournament from numerous perspectives. He finished fifth in the Genesis Invitational last season. Rory McIlroy is not human. 5. His dreams of winning ended on Sunday when his tee shot on No. 20. In his first start at the Genesis last year, he tied for 15th at 4-under, 8 strokes behind winner Max Homa. Our experts have a couple of Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions that they like, but their best bet is on Will Zalatoris to win outright with +2200 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook. After his runner-up finish at the WM Phoenix Open, Cantlay has finished inside the top five in 21 of his past 24 rounds played. Hes unsurprisingly 1st in High Winds, and some of his recent top finishes came when the going got very tough. There may not be a man in golf Id rather have standing over the ball in high winds. Gained 11.4 strokes ball striking in his debut here last year. He tied for 45th at the Saudi International. Previous rank: 22 Another bounce back for @XSchauffele pic.twitter.com/pIvn48nDKs, It's official. Daniel Berger Missed fairways will be inevitable, so playing out of the thick rough with short irons instead of long irons is a big advantage. He finished 10th in the Genesis Invitational last season, after claiming his second PGA Tour win in the event in 2021. The good news is that the worst of the wind in early forecasting is moderate and kicking up only on Thursday and Sunday.
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